How to Calculate Probability in Rummy | Rummy Millionaire

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How to Calculate Probability in Rummy

Rummy is a game which requires some amount of thinking and people who are good with numbers can easily master the game. If you are a beginner, you can always learn the basics of game and slowly advance as a pro player. If you give some time to practice, you can easily overpower you competitors. There are many rummy strategies in our tutorial section where you can easily get hold of the game. If you are good with mathematics, you can make us of the probability to improve your rummy skills.

You should learn to read the cards in your hand and should calculate what cards are likely to be in the closed deck or with the opponent. It is not that hard, you can start by getting to know about the concept of probability. If you have access to a vague idea on what cards your opponent is holding, it will not be difficult for you to win the game of rummy.

Some of the basic things that you should know are that 2 decks of cards are used 52 each which makes a total of 104 cards + 2 printed Jokers. There are 4 suits of 26 cards each (13 cards per suit x 2 decks). The wild card Joker is selected at random which makes it 8 Jokers (1 from each suit x 2 decks) which makes the total number of Jokers to be 10 in a game (2 printed Jokers + 8 wild card Jokers).

Estimate the Jokers

You can estimate the number of Jokers in your opponents by closely monitoring your cards and the discards section. If you hold 4 Jokers, you can be sure that there are 6 Jokers which will be distributed with your opponents and the closed deck. With this, you can find out the probability of getting a joker from the closed deck. You can also assume that your opponents have a few or none of Jokers in hand. Always note that as the number of players increases it can get tricky to do a fruitful probability analysis.

Probability of Melding

You can also use probability to calculate the chances of melding the cards together. If you have cards like 9 of hearts and 10 of hearts, chances are that you can get 8 of hearts or Jack of hearts. In this scenario, you should understand that it is worth holding these cards. On the contrary if you have 3 of spades and 10 of Spades, you should consider that it highly unlikely that you will be able make a sequence. So in this scenario it is better to understand the probability and discard those cards of minimal chances of melding.

Colour Probability

Another insight you get is based on the colour of cards that are dealt to you. If you happen to receive many red cards, you can easily assume that there are many black cards with the opponent or in the closed deck. You can analyse this further by noticing the colour of the cards that are discarded by your opponent.

Odd and Even Cards

Similar to the colour of the cards, if you are dealt with odd numbered cards, the chances are that your opponent will be having lots of even numbered cards. This will help you to understand what value of cards your opponent holds.